Analyze the best and worst NHL teams playing from behind and holding a lead

The Panthers and Maple Leafs drew 1-1 in the second leg on Tuesday night, but Toronto led by four goals. Even before hitting the midpoint of the second period, the Leafs went ahead 5-1.

In some matchups, this could mean games.

But not for Florida. Just a few days ago, they found themselves in a similar position against the Devils on Saturday. Entering the third period 6-2, the Panthers responded with four missing goals to force them to work overtime. There they completed a comeback with a 6-7 victory over Gustav Forsaling.

Against Maple Leaf, they had to deal with a high-powered opponent – but known for some wild games.

Sam Reinhart pushed back in the second half of the period. Goals from Radco Gudas and Claude Giroux. That set up is going to be a third in a one goal game. The Panthers hit first, Jonathan Huberdeau’s goal tied the game and then Alexander Barkov took the lead. With just four minutes left in control, John Tavares tied the score in the power play.

But in extra time, Huberdeau ended the game. A dramatic comeback from Florida required a tiebreak again to win and ended with a 7-6 final score.

Have these two wins from behind strengthened the Panthers as the best attacking team when they are behind in a game? Let’s take a closer look to find out.

We’ll be stuck in a 5-on-5 game in particular, because there are so many variables in the game in all situations, including how much time a team has spent on the advantage, or how many penalties they’ve taken or drawn.

The teams that have lagged behind most of their ice time in the game – 5-on-5 leading the way to Montreal, Arizona, Seattle, New Jersey and Detroit – have surprisingly dropped out of the playoff mix. A team who spends That With his many times back success is not very often clawing his way back.

Coyotes are The The worst team to make shot attempts when lagging behind in the game, followed by the Blues, Blackhawks, Islanders and Red Wings.

Shot volume only says so much. When factoring in quality and pre-shot movement with expected goals, those bottom teams don’t change much. Sharks, coyotes, senators and islanders end up creating the expected goals while lagging behind in the game. No one scores less in this situation than the islanders who follow the sharks. The next two teams are a little more interesting in Vegas and Vancouver – one is still competing for the playoffs, and the other is almost certain to end. Just Out.

When a team is already lagging behind, they need to make sure there are no steep climbs. This is where the islanders and sharks, including the red wings, blue jackets and coyotes, fall further because they all acknowledge a lot – be it shots, scoring chances or goals against.

Which team seems to have made the most heroic return to the game?

The Flames trailed just 17.4 percent of their 5-on-5 minutes, followed by Colorado (21 percent), Carolina (22.1 percent), Boston (24.9 percent) and Pittsburgh (25.1 percent).

After Tuesday’s drama, the Panthers and Maple Leafs both spent 26 percent of their 5-on-5 minutes behind in the game.

This low share can mean two things: a team doesn’t just often fall behind because they can maintain a relationship or hold a lead. Or They fight back that well. The next one we want to identify.

The Bruins lead the league in shot generation while trailing in the game, with Maple Leafs and Flames in the top three. Florida sits back – and at the rate they’ve been going lately, it should come as no surprise to see their rankings slide.

This is Leafs, who followed Hurricane, Flame, Panther and Blues with the best expected target generation (3.4 per 60) in that situation.

However, no one can finish better than the Panthers. Shocked, isn’t it? They show that they can dig themselves out of difficult situations with their heaps of crime. Will that strategy keep the stretch down, and when to raise the bet? This is the gamble they are taking with a backend that can get them down here.

The Blues, Predators, Hurricanes and Wild round out the top-five scoring team while trailing. Minnesota is an interesting topic here, especially the number of times they score a goal. This is one thing Athletics Dom Luszczyszyn recently looked at 16 figures, highlighting Minnesota’s 21 when their goalkeeper returned to the bench and they had an extra attacker.

So most of the teams are on the lower end To do The reason for that low percentage of ice is: they find ways to create crime to get back into the game.

Of course, they have to hold on to their own territory to balance those offensive efforts.

The Florida Hurricanes, Maple Leafs, Golden Knights and Eulers allow minimal shots in contrast to the games just behind. Leads to quality factor with expected targets against Capitals, Avalanche, Predators, Bruins and Hurricanes. Goaltending is also an important consideration, and it is here that teams like Winnipeg, Vancouver and St. Louis have grown taller – the efforts of Connor Hellebuk, Thatcher Demco and Villa Huso give teams their best chance.

To get the Panthers back against the Devils and Maple Leafs, they need two teams to blow the lead they have created. This brings us to the next question: who is the best at defending these leads and which teams are the worst?

The Coyotes spend their 5-on-5 minutes for a lead below 18 percent. They are the bottom five teams in terms of shots, quality chances and goals they concede at the moment. Also, their offensive line is the second weakest in the league while leading the game.

Another team that measures badly? Sabers, who have spent about 25 percent of their time leading. But Unlike coyotes, the late has some tendency towards the right. Flyers are not optimally stacked.

How about a team that stands up for the lack of crime while in the lead? The Stars are a bottom line team in scoring the expected goals And End They are about 33 percent ahead of time (which is about the league-average). The team can easily point fingers that their scoring is smooth when their top line is not set.

The Rangers, who have spent a little more time scoring than the Stars, are the team at the bottom of scoring the expected goals. For And Against Their finishing within these minutes increases their scoring. At the other end, Netminding (above 60 expected at .85) takes their original goals to the third best in the league, just behind the Kings and Islanders, thanks to Igor Shestarkin’s heart-caliber game.

The Kings and Islands are actually the top five teams in terms of limiting the amount and quality of shots ahead; They No. However, those who are ahead in the score spend more time like other teams and their offense keeps them behind.

No one spends more time in the game than Flame (45 percent), Avalanche, Leafs, Panthers and Hurricanes. Numbers also support this. Florida allowed the lowest shot rates when leading, while both Flemish and Hurricane were in the top five. With nearby Calgary and Boston, Wild jumped in as the best to suppress scoring opportunities.

What helps teams like Calgary, Colorado, Toronto, and Florida is their ability to move their scores forward – each team ranks higher on shots and expected goals, along with actual scoring. Pittsburgh does.

For a surprise team, the Devils are sixth in their offensive line in the games they are leading (which is not close to the division of time as the aforementioned competitors) – the team just needs to finish with a higher clip.

The best teams in the league can come from behind And A few of the more chaotic teams holding a lead only manage exes, although this is a risky (and potentially entertaining) strategy when it comes to playoffs. And those who don’t have a bite jump to advance in the game, or they fall apart after taking the lead? They are a team that is going to spend a long summer figuring out where they went wrong and how to improve.

Data via Sportlogiq

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